It’s understood that this article isn’t for everyone. Not every person gambles and that’s okay, but this article will give the latest trends for both teams as well as what the public is thinking about this football game.
The spread is set at even across most books, but there are some that have Tampa Bay favored by one point. The over/under for this game opened at 48.5, but has reached 51 across most books, with some having it at 50.5.
Before placing any bet, it is important to review the trends set by both teams over the past few weeks, or in some cases over the course of an entire year.
San Francisco is 2-5 at the spread in its last seven games, while the under has hit four of the last five times the 49ers have played the Buccaneers on the road. The 49ers are also 0-6 ATS in their last six games against NFC south opponents, while the over has hit in four of the teams last five games played in September. To cap it all off, San Francisco is 0-8 straight up in there last eight games on the road.
On the opposite side of the spectrum, the Buccaneers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games while the total has gone under in five of the last six games while playing at Raymond James Stadium. Tampa Bay is also 2-8 straight up in their last 10 games and are 4-8 ATS in the last 12 games played in week one.
Next, we take a look at what the public is thinking before I make my weekly picks. Typically, the public is never on Tampa Bay and that’s the case again. Many bettors feel that the 49ers are the better team and that’s why 58% of the public’s money is coming in for the 49ers. Also, the public is leaning towards the over hitting, as 58% are on the over 51 points.
My picks: I’m going with Tampa Bay (E) and the under (51). I think Jimmy Garoppolo will be rusty and forced into some mistakes by Todd Bowles and the Buccaneers defense. I think it’ll be a close, low scoring game which is why I’m also taking the under. Tampa Bay will have trouble finishing drives with the pass rush of the 49ers, but a late 53-yard field goal by Mat Gay will help Tampa Bay prevail in week one.