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Bang for their Bucs: Wide Receiver, Adam Humphries

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A stats-to-dollars look at key Buccaneers from 2018

NFL: Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Wrapping up this season’s look at some of the key Buccaneers from 2018 in comparison with the cap space dedicated to their presence, it’s fan favorite, Adam Humphries!

We know the fans love him. His quarterback targets him and has a great connection with him. But just how much did he outplay his cap hit, and what does it mean for 2019?

CAP STATS

2018 CAP HIT: $2.9M

TEAM RANKING: 18TH

NFL RANKING: T-483RD (WR, TYRELL WILLAMS (LAC); G, BEN GARLAND (ATL); 7 MORE)

POSITION RANKING: T-60TH

As a restricted free-agent in the 2018 off-season, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers brought Humphries back on a one-year deal.

He continued to build upon his reputation as a sure handed short and intermediate option for his quarterback, and became one of the few bright spots in yet another dissapointing season for the franchise.

Now, in 2019, Humphries will be an un-restricted free-agent and has a new coaching staff in Tampa deciding whether or not they want to try and retain his services on the team who first gave him a shot as an undrafted free-agent out of Clemson in 2015.

TEAM PRODUCTION

Humphries was one of three wide receivers costing the Bucs millions of dollars in cap room including star Mike Evans and the recently alienated DeSean Jackson.

His 76 receptions, 816-yards and five touchdowns were all career highs. During the season, Humphries contributed the most during the back-half of the season with 41 of his 76 receptions coming in the final eight games of the year.

In Week 16, Humphries notched double-digit receptions for just the second time in his career, and it was the first time since Week 17 of the 2016 season he had done so.

For all of his efforts, he finished second on the team in targets and receptions and third in receiving yards.

His 72.4% catch percentage was best among Buccaneers wide receivers, and second on the team to Jacquizz Rodgers.

LEAGUE PRODUCTION

Among wide receivers with a minimum of 85 targets, Humphries finished inside the Top-15 and was one of just fourteen players with a drop percentage lower than 4. Among receivers with at least 100 targets, he finished 8th.

103 of his targets in 2018 came from the slot, which should be no surprise to anyone who watches Tampa Bay football in recent years. In fact, Humphries spent over 83% of his time on the field lined up in the slot, sixth-most in the NFL for 2018.

24 players spent more than half of their time lined up in the slot for NFL teams this past season. Of them, Humphries landed third in receptions, fourth in yards and seventh with three touchdowns out of the slot position.

When compared to all NFL receivers, the fourth-year receiver ranked 16th in catches and 28th in yards. His five scores came in tied for 31st in the league along with other receivers like Brandin Cooks of the Los Angeles Rams and cap-twin Tyrell Williams from the Los Angeles Chargers.

Taking a look at cap hits surrendered to players ranking around Humphries, he spent his 2018 in the statistical company of players who averaged a cap hit of $6.3M in 2018.

CONCLUSION

Earning on average of $4M less than players in the same position with similar production is not going to bode well for Jason Licht if and when they go to negotiate with Humphries.

What will help is the fact that tight end Cameron Brate agreed to a very team friendly contract when he re-signed last year. It’s well known that Brate and Humphries are very good friends, so it’s likely the wide receiver and tight end share similar mindsets when it comes to money and their position in the NFL.

Still, Humphries has proven his value to the team way beyond that of DeSean Jackson, who the team set aside $11M for in 2018.

Spotrac.com estimates Humphries could demand as much as $10.4M which would make him the 20th highest paid receiver in the league. Compared to his statistical performance and the rate of inflation usually seen in these deals, this number seems reasonable.

For a team with lots of needs and not as much in cap space as many others, this number may pose a problem for the two sides when they meet.

VERDICT: BUCS GOT A BARGAIN

NFL: Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

But then, they knew it when they signed him. Humphries was a restricted free-agent when they got him at $2M.

It was hoped that a strong season by Humphries would lead to not only a better contract for the player, but a better season for the Buccaneers compared to their 2017 finish.

Unfortunately, only one of those is true.

Poll

How did the Bucs make out with Humphries’ 2018 cap cost?

This poll is closed

  • 0%
    They Got Ripped Off!
    (1 vote)
  • 0%
    Bad, But Not Terrible
    (0 votes)
  • 7%
    Fair And Even
    (21 votes)
  • 65%
    Humphries Was A Bargain
    (195 votes)
  • 25%
    Humphries Should Sue For Unpaid Wages
    (77 votes)
  • 2%
    Nobody Deserves Millions For Playing A Kids Game
    (6 votes)
300 votes total Vote Now

This wraps up our “Bang for their Bucs” series for the 2018 season. Thanks to everyone for reading and to those who commented their thoughts as well. Stay tuned to Bucs Nation as we get closer to the NFL Combine and free-agency, both of which are just around the corner!