clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Tampa Bay underdogs for third straight week.

New, comments

Once again, take the over!

NFL: Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

*UPDATE* The spread has shifted. Bucs are now -1 with the money line -115. Money rolling in for Tampa Bay.

What is Las Vegas thinking about the Buccaneers and Steelers game this weekend?

So far, Vegas has pegged the Buccaneers as underdogs twice and both times they have been wrong.

In no way am I a professional gambler, and in no way am I telling you to put your money with what I predict. This is really just for fun and something we here at Bucs Nation thought the readers would enjoy after sports gambling was legalized.

For those that don’t know sports gambling, I will quickly go over the three main bets that are often placed. Also, the lines could always change and the website you use, could be different from mine.

Betting with the spread: Currently, the Buccaneers are +1½ . This means that if you were to take the Buccaneers with the spread, they could lose by 1 points and you’d win. On the opposite side, if you took the Steelers at -1 ½ , they’d have to win by 2 for you to win the bet. Spread bets always have the same odds, which are -110. This means that you need to risk $110 to win $100. This spread is basically a Pick’em’ type game. It’s probably not worth it to take Tampa Bay at +1 ½ .

Money line bets: As of Saturday evening, the Steelers are -125. The Buccaneers are +105. In money line bets, all the team you bet on has to do is win. In terms of what the -125 means for the Steelers, you’d have to risk $125 dollars just to win $100 because they are the favorite to win this game. The Buccaneers at +115, means that a $100 dollar bet would win you $115 dollars. The money line on Tampa Bay has dropped over the recent weeks. If you remember, week one Tampa Bay was +440.

Over/Under bets: Again, no matter what way you pick, the odds in this case are -110. Vegas sports books currently have the over under at 53½ total points scored . If you take the over, the Bucs and Steelers must combined to score 54 points in order for you to win. Obviously, the under is 53 or under.

So now we get to the part where I try and beat Vegas. Last week, I picked Tampa Bay straight up (+150) (won) and I also took the over 44 ½ (won). My current record on the season is 3-1. I will continue to keep a tracker all season of how I am doing. For now, let’s continue to ride the wave.

A few things to consider. Pittsburgh is 6-0-1 straight up (moneyline) in it’s last seven games on the road. Pittsburgh is also 5-1 in it’s last six games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay. So, history says Steelers right? I don’t buy it. In their last five games, Tampa Bay is 5-0 at the spread (+1 ½). The public is actually on Tampa Bay at +1 ½ . Tampa Bay opened at +2 ½ underdogs and in some cases the line has moved to +1. That tells me that Vegas has received big bets in favor of Tampa. In regards to that, 56% of the public is on Tampa +1 ½ and 68% are on the over of 53 ½.

My picks: Buccaneers at +115 and the over 53 ½. Even if the over under was 60, i’d still take it. It’s going to be a shootout come Monday night. I don’t think either team has enough talent in the secondary to slow down the opposing offense. Both teams have the top two offenses in the league through two weeks, and Big Ben has thrown the ball 101 times through two games. It’s a must win for Pittsburgh, but they have a lot of drama surrounding them and I think it’ll be too much for them to overcome, which is why I picked Tampa +115. Let’s see if we can make it 5-1 on the season.