Another week, another vegas odds article. This is by far my favorite article to write throughout the week, partly because I think sports gambling is fantastic, but also because it simply tells you what the oddsmakers in Vegas are thinking regarding the game.
Tampa Bay is underdogs in this game as expected, but the line has came down throughout the week, meaning big wagers were placed on Tampa Bay as the week went on.
In no way am I a professional gambler and in no way am I telling you to put your money with what I predict. This is really just for fun and something we here at Bucs Nation thought the readers would enjoy after sports gambling was legalized.
For those that don’t know sports gambling, I will quickly go over the three main bets that are often placed. Also, the lines could always change and the website you use, could be different from mine.
Betting with the spread: Currently, the Buccaneers are +3 ½. This means that if you were to take the Buccaneers with the spread, they can lose by three and you’d still win the bet. If you take the Bengals at -3 ½ , they have to win by 4 in order for you to win. There is no pushes this week, unless your sports book has a +4 spread, or +3 spread, which is possible. Spread bets always have the same odds, which are -110. This means that you need to risk $110 to win $100. To open the week, Tampa Bay was +6, so the line has come down significantly. It sits at +3 ½ right now, but I can see it coming down even more over the weekend based on who the Bengals declared out today.
Money line bets: As of late friday night, the Buccaneers are anywhere from +160 to +150, depending on the website or sportsbook you use. So a $100 dollar bet will win you $160 or $150. Again, this is another number that has come down in Tampa Bay’s favor all week. The Buccaneers opened as +200 underdogs, so it is significant movement. The Bengals are -170, but opened the week as -240. A lot of this steep movement probably has to do with the result of the Sunday night game and the beating the Bengals took. You’d have to risk $170 dollars just to win $100 on the Bengals. Putting a lot of faith in Dalton on that one.
Over/Under bets: Again, no matter what way you pick, the odds in this case are -110. Vegas sports books currently have the over under at 54 ½ total points scored. If you take the over, the Bucs and Bengals must combined to score 55 points in order for you to win. Obviously, 54 points or under would result in a win if you go that route. The line opened at 53 ½, so the public likes the over in this as well.
Last week was a 1-1 week for me yet again. I can’t seem to get that sweep, but i’d much rather a .500 week then a 0-2 week. My overall record on the season is 6-6.
A few things to consider: The total has gone OVER in 6 of the last 7 games Tampa Bay has played on the road. Tampa Bay is 6-1 in the last seven games they have played against the Bengals. The total has gone UNDER in five of the last seven matchups between the Bucs and Bengals. When picking with the spread, the Bengals are 5-2 in their last seven games at home.
My picks: When the spread came out and was +6 for Tampa Bay, I loved it. It has moved a lot and that worried me quite a bit. I almost feel like this is a game the Buccaneers will either squeak out a win or get blown out. With that being said, the Bengals are extremely banged up and the Buccaneers seem to have an added energy to them. I love the value of Tampa Bay at +150 to win this game straight up. Also, it’s safe to take the over. I still don’t have great confidence in the Buccaneers defense, even after an impressive week last week. On the road, the defense has been a different team and not in a good way. So Tampa Bay +150 and the over 54 ½ is what i’m rolling with.