The Tampa Bay Buccaneers want to make the playoffs this year. That is their goal. One obvious question: how realistic is that goal? This is the NFL, which means anything can happen, but most outlets have not taken the Bucs’ playoff ambitions very seriously. Neither has Las Vegas.
In the latest playoff odds, released on June 30, the Bucs are once again seen as no real contenders for the playoffs. Bovada gives them odds of +300 to make the playoffs this season.
If you’re as gambling illiterate as I am, this means Bovada will give you $300 for every $100 you bet on the Bucs making the playoffs, and they do. It also means you need to bet $400 on them not making the playoffs to win $100 if they indeed don’t make it to the postseason.
Translated into general odds: Vegas thinks the Bucs have about a 33% chance of making the playoffs. Those are pretty bad odds, but they’re not the worst: they value the Tennessee Titans, San Francisco 49ers, San Diego Chargers and Cleveland Browns even less.
Vegas doesn’t like the Bucs’ odds, but that doesn’t mean they can’t make it. After all, the Bucs have faced odds similar to this for nearly a decade now — and every year, they fall short. At some point, that one in three chance should actually come true. And I’d certainly be willing to bet some money that this year is the year: the team has talent across the board, what appears to be a franchise quarterback in the making, and a good coaching staff. If not now, then when?