2016 NFL Mock Draft: Todd McShay does the predictable thing with Buccaneers

Draft season never ends. With the 2015 NFL draft in the books, draftniks are already moving on to next year's class. And that includes Todd McShay, who published a 2016 NFL mock draft yesterday.

Using Football Outsiders' projections, he has the Tampa Bay Buccaneers picking fifth overall after (another) disappointing 6-10 season. And at that spot, they add a defensive end.

Emmanuel Ogbah, DE, Oklahoma State: I'm probably slotting him too early here, but Ogbah has an intriguing skill set and was highly productive during the 2014 season. The Bucs should be able to prioritize defense in next year's draft after taking QB Jameis Winston No. 1 in 2015, and they need a pass-rushing defensive end.

A defensive end would be quite useful. It's the one hole the Buccaneers really couldn't fill adequately this offseason, only adding George Johnson in trade. The Tampa 2 is built around a consistent four-man pass rush, and the Bucs simply need more talent at defensive end to get that done -- unless Jacquies Smith and George Johnson turn out to be diamonds in the rough.

Ogbah had 11 sacks last year, and at 6'4", 270 lbs. he has great size for a 4-3 defensive end. Beyond that, I don't really know anything about him.

Of course, it's really much too early to say anything definitive about next year's draft, and even the position the Bucs will target. Sure, it looks like it'll be a defensive end now -- but what if Donovan Smith turns out to be a bust, or Logan Mankins hangs up his cleats, or Gerald McCoy suffers a career-ending injury, or Vincent Jackson gets cut, or there are no defensive ends worth taking with whichever pick the Bucs end up having?

The point is: this pick looks very logical right now. But things change swiftly in the NFL, and we really don't know a thing.