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Part 1: Terrible Drafting From 2004-2013

Before I get to my article, I wanted to update everyone on my huge project. I decided to go through all 2800 drafted players and take down all of their NFL Combine and NFL Pro Day data and combined them into one big excel document. It took over a month and countless hours looking up the data. There is some more I need to look for (Hand and Arm Length) and players that their data is difficult to find. But other than that, it is done! Hopefully, I can create a few good articles and use it for the upcoming combine and draft. It should be interesting.

With all of the data I went through, I felt like I should focus on the Buccaneers. We have had little luck drafting quality players and keeping them with the team. So instead, I decided to look at all of the players in quantity. We drafted a total of 83 players in this ten year period. In doing so we drafted 13 players who never played an NFL game. Here is our average compared to the other 31 NFL teams.

Team # w/ 0 Games # of Picks
Chicago Bears 13 73 18%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13 83 16%
Washington Redskins 11 71 15%
Pittsburgh Steelers 13 84 15%
Cincinnati Bengals 13 91 14%
New England Patriots 12 88 14%
New York Giants 9 71 13%
Kansas City Chiefs 10 82 12%
New Orleans Saints 7 60 12%
Indianapolis Colts 9 82 11%
Minnesota Vikings 8 76 11%
San Francisco 49ers 9 88 10%
Seattle Seahawks 8 83 10%
Philadelphia Eagles 9 96 9%
New York Jets 6 66 9%
Dallas Cowboys 7 78 9%
Oakland Raiders 7 79 9%
San Diego Chargers 6 72 8%
Detroit Lions 6 74 8%
St. Louis Rams 7 87 8%
Denver Broncos 6 78 8%
Green Bay Packers 7 93 8%
Baltimore Ravens 6 80 8%
Arizona Cardinals 5 72 7%
Jacksonville Jaguars 5 74 7%
Cleveland Browns 5 76 7%
Atlanta Falcons 5 77 6%
Houston Texans 5 78 6%
Tennessee Titans 5 95 5%
Carolina Panthers 4 78 5%
Miami Dolphins 4 78 5%
Buffalo Bills 3 81 4%
Totals 243 2544 9.55%

From these numbers, we can see that the past ten years of drafting have not been kind to us. We ranked second to last in the NFL. What is worst is that Lovie Smith's Chicago Bears were worst. From 2004 to 2012, they had 19% of their draft picks never play a game in the NFL.

When you look at the average of 9.55% of all draft picks from 2004-2013 that never played a snap in the NFL, we almost doubled it. It was tough drafting players with Gruden, Morris, and Schiano. Or should I say, Bruce Allen and Mark Dominik.

Although it is nice to share the blame between these two men, lets look at each of them and see how they each performed compared to the other.

Allen 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Totals
# w/o Game 1 1 1 1 5 9
# of Picks 5 5 6 5 6 6 14 47
0.0% 0.0% 16.7% 20.0% 16.7% 16.7% 35.7% 19.1%
Dominik 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
# w/o Game 1 1 2 4
# of Picks 5 5 4 5 4 4 9 36
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 25.0% 25.0% 22.2% 11.1%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 10 Yr
League 0 3 9 18 41 70 102 243
# w/o Game 319 316 344 360 354 379 472 2544
# of Picks 0.0% 0.9% 2.6% 5.0% 11.6% 18.5% 21.6% 9.6%

To put it gently, Bruce Allen completely sucked. He missed on 19% of his draft picks. He completely missed on 5 out of 14 players in the 7th round. His percentage is almost double that of the league average. Also, his misses in the 3rd and 4th round are unheard of by one general manager. It feels like anything after the 2nd round didn't matter to him.

Somehow, Mark Dominik was better than Bruce Allen. He only missed on 11% of his draft picks. I remember that he usually liked to draft players in the latter rounds based on their leadership roles on their respected college team. It seemed like a good strategy but with four players never playing a down in the NFL, it still was pretty bad. And his misses in the

Over the ten years before Jason Licht and Lovie Smith, we were terrible with drafting players in the latter rounds of the draft. The league average is close to 9.6% and we doubled that with Bruce Allen and were just above it with Mark Dominik. In doing so, we have created a big lack of depth on the team and it might take a few drafts to get us back into good shape.

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