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NFL Picks Against The Spread, Week 7

Picking ga mes, because the Bucs don't play.

Michael Thomas

Atlanta Falcons at Baltimore Ravens (-6.5): Falcons are bad, Ravens are good. And the Ravens are a particularly bad matchup for the Falcons, who won't be able to handle their blitzes or their running game. Ravens.

Cleveland Browns(-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars: Ugh. Neither of these teams is any good, the Jaguars have to win some time and the Browns at home is as good a time as any. Six points is way too much for the Browns. Jaguars.

Minnesota Vikings at Buffalo Bills (-5): The Vikings aren't as bad as they've looked in recent weeks, but the Bills are better than you'd think, too. I'd say this is a toss-up, but I like the Bills to beat the spread at home. Bridgewater isn't capable of carrying that Vikings offense.

Tennessee Titans at Washington (-6.5): Kirk Cousins is awful. Robert Griffin III is only a little better. The Titans aren't good, exactly, but they should be able to beat a 6.5-point spread here.

Seattle Seahawks (-6.5) at St. Louis Rams: The Rams are awful. Just a really bad football team all around. Even though they're at home and this is a division game, the Seahawks are going to take it to them coming off a bad loss to Dallas.

Miami Dolphins at Chicago Bears (-3.5): The Dolphins are too inconsistent to bet on and the Bears are a pretty good team, especially at home. That Dolphins running game is a bit of an equalizer and Ryan Tannehill could have a good day any time, but the Bears are the safe bet here.

New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions (-2): This Saints defense is absolutely horrendous and they won't be able to stop slippery Golden Tate from doing his thing. Not that Matt Stafford is leading the 2007 Patriots here, but anyone can score on that defense, especially at home. Lions.

Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers (-6.5): One thing that concerns me here is the Packers' inability to handle the read option, and Cam Newton's brilliance in those packages. I don't think the Panthers win outright, but they should be able to beat the spread.

Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (-3): This one's a coinflip to me. I don't trust that Colts defense one bit, but Andrew Luck can compensate. If I have to choose, I go with the Colts.

Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers (-3.5): This line actually opened at -5.5 and I'm not sure why it's moved at all. The Chargers had a surprisingly tough time of it against the Raiders last week, but they'll bounce back.

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-7): The Cowboys seem to be getting better every week, and a touchdown at home against a bad team missing its best receiver is not something they can't beat. Cowboys.

Arizona Cardinals (-4) at Oakland Raiders: Carson Palmer's healthy, Larry Fitzgerald is around, Andre Ellington is doing his thing and it's the Raiders, who always find ways to lose and, well, aren't good. Cardinals.

San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos (-7): Broncos by a touchdown at home against an inconsistent San Francisco team? Yeah, Broncos.

Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3): The Steelers are godawful (they lost to the Bucs!) but the Houston Texans aren't any better. I don't know which side I like best but I'm going to have to go with the Steelers.

Odds from SB Nation's odds page.