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That was the mantra going into the 2012 off-season by then new coach Greg Schiano. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ football team was in for a culture change remake of how it would conduct itself. "Toes on the line," bellowing out from Schiano meant he wants discipline from his group. So much so that any player not willing to conform to the new norm will be walked to the plank and jump ship. Kellen Winslow Jr was probably the biggest example of not being with the team in the ‘You’re either with us or you’re against us’ theme.
So we are to expect a lot of discipline from this group headed by Schiano. Would that also translate to disciplined play on the field? The assumption would be that the Bucs would be one of few teams with minimal penalties accrued against them. Let us investigate.
In 2011, the average penalty count among the 32 teams was 6.34. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers would average 7.69 penalties per game, which was ranked as fourth most offending team in the league. In 2012, the average penalty count in the NFL was 6.21. The lowest average in 2012 was 3.33, by the Atlanta Falcons, and the worst was St. Louis with 8.06 penalty counts. Remember, ‘Toes on the line’. New culture or you were jettisoned off the ship. The Buccaneers’ penalty count average for 2012 was 6.31, which made us the 18th most offending team in the league. (Stats were derived by nflpenalties.com and matched my collection of the Bucs’ 2012 penalty count average of 6.31.)
Tampa Bay’s penalty average for last year, 2012, was still higher than the NFL mean. For some reason, I had expected the outcome and ranking to be much lower with the new culture change. Last year, the Bucs were in 10 games where the final score was differentiated by eight points or less. The record of the Bay in those 10 games was 3 – 7, three wins and seven losses. Could penalties factor into wins and losses?
In light of the many close games the Bay were in, yes, penalties could hurt this team’s chances at winning games. Penalties can, over a course of a game, affect the outcome and here are a few examples.
Penalty infractions versus the NFC East
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Game
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Score
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W/L
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Qtr
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Description
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Dal |
16 - 10 |
L
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2nd |
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3rd |
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4th |
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Was
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22 - 24
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L
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1st
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Phi
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23 - 21
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L
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2nd
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In the game against Dallas, the first example I gave showed us at mid-field only to move backwards in a hurry. And once it seemed like the offense was going to break forward, we committed another penalty going from 3rd and 5 yards to go into 3rd and 10 from the 49 yard line of the Bucs, the exact same place where they started from. No sniff at a field goal attempt possible. Similarly, in the second Dallas example, we moved out of field goal range after the Bucs’ defense forced a turnover at the Dallas 31 yard line. Again, no field attempt was made available. Tampa Bay lost the game by six points. Which brings us to our last example to the Cowboys game, instead of starting at the Tampa Bay 18 yard line, they are forced to start at the 9 yard line due to unnecessary roughness penalty by Myron Lewis. The team got pigeon-holed and the resulting effect was a Dallas FG.
The next example was against the Redskins. Here is one example of a penalty that could have lead to a possible touchdown, but again, the team shot itself in the foot and moved backwards. The result was settling for a 50 yard field goal. The Bucs lost that game by two points. I am not saying the team could have scored a touchdown, but I am saying they prevented themselves from such an opportunity.
Versus the Eagles, the last game I brought up shows two instances of penalty infractions that hurt the team’s chances at winning. In the first example, you can see the output was – 16 yards (that is NEGATIVE 16 yards) from that single possession. Not included in that possession is the 15 yard face mask penalty. Instead of Philly starting at their own 38 yard line, the extra 15 yards put them in Bucs territory on Tampa Bay’s 43 yard line. Rest assured, that lead to an Eagles FG. But the Bay still had a chance to win the game by sealing it on offense, which is the last example. With 3:55 left to play in the game, the Bucs were only able to run off 1:11 of the time. Why? The team was called for a holding penalty while trying to run the clock out. That penalty acted as a fourth timeout for the Eagles. The 40 seconds or more on that run play was negated by that penalty. Philly needed all 2:44 to get the win as it was in the final 2 seconds of the game where they pulled out a touchdown.
Just in those three games alone, penalties hindered the Buccaneer football. The team finished 7 – 9 on the year. What if they avoided stupid mistakes and capitalized on them? It is possible the team could have finished 10 – 6 instead. That 10 – 6 record would have ensured a playoff appearance as it would have also dealt the Redskins a loss and we would have taken their place.
I hope coach Schiano does not stop preaching "Toes on the line", but rather intensifies it. Granted, this team’s defense was mediocre, but Schiano’s team could have helped itself out if it did not make silly mistakes that turn out to be costly ones. "Toes on the line" represents a sort of discipline. Apparently, the ship needs to tighten up a little bit more.
(Odd note: As I was putting a title to the penalties table, I did not realize that the teams I listed were all from the NFC East division. I am not saying there is a conspiracy going on, but that was quite eerie as I was typing down all the team names and then changed it to NFC East.)