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How safe is Greg Schiano's job this year?

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May 4, 2012; Tampa, FL, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers head coach Greg Schiano talks with cornerback Leonard Jackson (29) during rookie mini camp at One Buc.   Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-US PRESSWIRE
May 4, 2012; Tampa, FL, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers head coach Greg Schiano talks with cornerback Leonard Jackson (29) during rookie mini camp at One Buc. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-US PRESSWIRE

Some website put together some ranking of head coaching job security and Greg Schiano ranked a surprisingly low #12, but the details of that analysis don't interest me all that much. It does, however, raise an interesting question: is there a situation in which Greg Schiano can be fired after season? Well, I bet he'll be fired if the team goes 0-16 or suffers through the same problems they had last season with a massive losing streak featuring massive incompetence. So yes, there undoubtedly exist some scenarios where he will lose his job - but overall, his job should be really secure.

Let's look at the evidence:

  • The Glazers have never fired a coach after a single year, despite both Tony Dungy (6-10) and Raheem Morris (3-13) starting off rather inauspiciously.
  • Coaches don't generally get fired after just a single season. They're given the time to re-build their teams, as they often walk into situations where significant change is needed. That's the case here, as the Bucs have overhauled the roster this offseason.
  • The Bucs are in a very tough division, which excuses a below-average result somewhat: 6 games against the Falcons, Saints and Panthers doesn't help anyone.
  • The talent on the roster has been improved, but there are still holes, there's a lot of unrealized potential which may not develop, and there are issues with depth at several positions.
No, I'd contend Greg Schiano is, in fact, extremely safe. Mark Dominik, on the other hand...