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Rook's Final 2012 Draft Day Mock Draft

Feb 27, 2012; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Boston College linebacker Luke Kuechly runs the 40 yard dash during the NFL Combine at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brian Spurlock-US PRESSWIRE
Feb 27, 2012; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Boston College linebacker Luke Kuechly runs the 40 yard dash during the NFL Combine at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brian Spurlock-US PRESSWIRE

Draft day is upon us! Amidst the mad swirl of rumors surrounding the Bucs, a lot of different scenarios are possible. In about four hours, the waiting is finally over and the real draft is upon us. But if you're interested, here's my final mock for the season. No write-ups in the interest of expediency, but I've included some notes (and one alternate scenario) at the end. Three rounds, let's get to it:

1. Indianapolis Colts

Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford

2. Washington Redskins (via St. Louis Rams)

Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor

3. Minnesota Vikings

Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU

4. Cleveland Browns

Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama

5. Buffalo Bills (via Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

Matt Kalil, OT, USC

TRADE: Tampa trades its #5 pick for Buffalo's #10 and #41 picks. (St. Louis is another possible trade partner under

this scenario)

6. St. Louis Rams (via Washington Redskins)

Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State

7. Jacksonville Jaguars

Melvin Ingram, DE, South Carolina

8. Miami Dolphins

Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M

9. Carolina Panthers

Fletcher Cox, DT, Mississippi State

10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (via Buffalo Bills)

Luke Kuechly, ILB, Boston College

11. Kansas City Chiefs

David DeCastro, G, Stanford

12. Seattle Seahawks

Quinton Coples, DE, North Carolina

13. Arizona Cardinals

Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa

14. Dallas Cowboys

Mark Barron, S, Alabama

15. Philadelphia Eagles

Michael Brockers, DT, LSU

16. New York Jets

Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame

17. Cincinnati Bengals (via Oakland Raiders)

Stephon Gilmore, CB, South Carolina

18. San Diego Chargers

Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis

19. Chicago Bears

Whitney Mercilus, DE/OLB, Illinois

20. Tennessee Titans

Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama

21. Cincinnati Bengals

Cordy Glenn, OT/G, Georgia

22. Cleveland Browns (via Atlanta Falcons)

Stephen Hill, WR, Georgia Tech

23. Detroit Lions

Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford

24. Pittsburgh Steelers

Dont'a Hightower, ILB, Alabama

25. Denver Broncos

Kendall Reyes, DT, Connecticut

26. Houston Texans

Kevin Zeitler, G, Wisconsin

27. New England Patriots (via New Orleans Saints)

Chandler Jones, DE/OLB, Syracuse

28. Green Bay Packers

Shea McClellin, DE/OLB, Boise State

29. Baltimore Ravens

Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor

30. New York Jets (via San Francisco 49ers)

Courtney Upshaw, DE/OLB, Alabama

TRADE: San Francisco trades its #30 pick to New York for their 2013 first round pick.

31. Arizona Cardinals (via New England Patriots)

Coby Fleener, TE, Stanford

TRADE: New England trades its #31 pick to Arizona for their 2013 first round pick.

32. New York Giants

Doug Martin, RB, Boise State

33. St. Louis Rams

Mike Adams, OT, Ohio State

34. Indianapolis Colts

Peter Konz, C, Wisconsin

35. Minnesota Vikings

Zebrie Sanders, OT, Florida State

36. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Janoris Jenkins, CB, Northern Alabama

37. Cleveland Browns

Bobby Massie, OT, Mississippi

38. Jacksonville

Alshon Jeffery, WR, South Carolina

39. St. Louis Rams (via Washington Redskins)

Lavonte David, LB, Nebraska

40. Carolina Panthers

Mohamed Sanu, WR, Rutgers

41. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (via Buffalo Bills)

Harrison Smith, S, Notre Dame

42. Miami Dolphins

Nick Perry, DE/OLB, USC

43. Seattle Seahawks

Mychal Kendricks, ILB, California

44. Kansas City Chiefs

Josh Chapman, NT, Alabama

45. Dallas Cowboys

Devon Still, DT/DE. Penn State

46. Philadelphia Eagles

Rueben Randle, WR, LSU

47. New York Jets

Trumaine Johnson, CB/S, Montana

48. New England Patriots (via Oakland Raiders)

Josh Robinson, CB, UCF

49. San Diego Chargers

Amini Silatolu, G/T. Midwestern State

50. Chicago Bears

Mitchell Schwartz, OT, California

51. Philadelphia Eagles (via Arizona Cardinals)

Vinny Curry, DE, Marshall

52. Tennessee Titans

Brandon Thompson, DT, Clemson

53. Cincinnati Bengals

David Wilson, RB, Virginia Tech

54. Detroit Lions

Zach Brown, OLB, North Carolina

55. Atlanta Falcons

Brandon Mosley, OT, Auburn

56. Pittsburgh Steelers

Kelechi Osemele, G/T, Iowa State

57. Denver Broncos

Lamar Miller, RB, Miami

58. Houston Texans

Brian Quick, WR, Appalachian State

59. Green Bay Packers

Markelle Martin, S, Oklahoma State

60. Baltimore Ravens

Brandon Washington, G/T, Miami

61. San Francisco 49ers

Andre Branch, DE, Clemson

62. New England Patriots

Billy Winn, DE/DT, Boise State

63. New York Giants

Brandon Brooks, G/T, Miami of Ohio

64. Indianapolis Colts

Jamell Fleming, CB, Oklahoma

65. St. Louis Rams

Leonard Johnson, CB, Iowa State

66. Minnesota Vikings

George Iloka, S, Boise State

67. Cleveland Browns

Brandon Weeden, QB, Oklahoma State

68. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

LaMichael James, RB, Oregon

69. Washington Redskins

Alameda Ta'amu, NT, Washington

70. Jacksonville Jaguars

Dwayne Allen, TE, Clemson

71. Buffalo Bills

Bobby Wagner, OLB/ILB, Utah State

72. Miami Dolphins (via Carolina Panthers via Chicago Bears)

Tony Bergstrom, G/T, Utah

73. Miami Dolphins

Orson Charles, TE, Georgia

74. Kansas City Chiefs

Brock Osweiler, QB, Arizona State

75. Seattle Seahawks

Chris Polk, RB, Washington

76. Houston Texans (via Philadelphia Eagles)

Nicolas Jean-Baptiste, NT, Baylor

77. New York Jets

Jeff Allen, OT, Illinois

78. San Diego Chargers

Antonio Allen, S, South Carolina

79. Chicago Bears

Derek Wolfe, DT, Cincinnati

80. Arizona Cardinals

Dwight Jones, WR, North Carolina

81. Dallas Cowboys

Chase Minnifield, CB, Virginia

82. Tennessee Titans

Ben Jones, C, Georgia

83. Cincinnati Bengals

Marvin McNutt, WR, Iowa

84. Atlanta Falcons

Ladarius Green, TE, Louisiana-Lafayette

85. Detroit Lions

Brandon Boykin, CB, Georgia

86. Pittsburgh Steelers

Robert Turbin, RB, Utah State

87. Denver Broncos

James Brown, OT, Troy

88. Philadelphia Eagles (via Houston Texans)

Jayron Hosley, CB, Virginia Tech

89. New Orleans Saints

Casey Hayward, CB, Vanderbilt

90. Green Bay Packers

Josh Norman, CB, Coastal Carolina

91. Baltimore Ravens

Ronnell Lewis, OLB, Oklahoma

92. San Francisco 49ers

Senio Kelemete, OT/G, Washington

93. New England Patriots

Brandon Taylor, S, LSU

94. New York Giants

James-Michael Johnson, ILB, Nevada

95. Oakland Raiders (compensatory pick)

Cam Johnson, DE/OLB, Virginia

  • I'm fully aware that Minnesota may very well be blowing smoke- I call this scenario the "Spielman flips his lid" version. Under the alternate scenario ("OK, OK- I was bluffing"), Minnesota takes Kalil at #3 and Tampa takes Claiborne at #5. Buffalo then takes Kuechly at the exact spot Tampa would have. In the second round Tampa takes Harrison Smith with the #36 pick and then Bobby Wagner with the #68 pick. There are other variations that spiral out in this alternate starting with St. Louis taking Jenkins at #39, but I won't go into them here.
  • The two trades at the back end of the first round: we all know that New England will likely look to trade their second pick away. I don't know if Arizona is THAT sold on Fleener, but I know they need more offensive weapons and the Giants will take him if they don't. As for the Jets trade, I think if they take a wide receiver with their first pick and a pass-rusher they have their eye on drops this far, they'll pounce- particularly if they think there's a chance that New England might hold onto their second pick and use it on their target. As for San Francisco, they have no truly pressing needs, so an opportunity to pick up a future first round pick would be sorely tempting.
  • I know that Jenkins is a character risk, but as I've said before he has such immense potential that a team in desperate need of a #1 cornerback (like us) will take that risk sooner or later. However, I think that Harrison Smith is the better overall prospect for in the second round- there is of course, no guarantee that either of them will fall this far. They could easily go in the late first round.
  • I didn't do a scenario that involved the Bucs trading up because, frankly, the very idea sickens me. I know that there's precedent (Freeman, Stocker) but as I said in my last article, you have to take into consideration the parabolic nature of draft pick values. For example, in trading up from #19 to #17, we gave up a sixth round pick. The value difference was 75 points. The value difference between #3 and #5 is 500 points: almost seven times as much value. It's not worth the amount of picks we would need to give them, particularly when our major needs are all on the defensive side of the ball.

Thoughts and comments are welcome as always.