Given the mid-week slowdown, I thought I'd post some of the Bucs stats so we can keep a running tab on progress made or ground given up during the year. While we are looking at stats, I'd like to remind everyone that one game does not set a trend and is not statistically significant. There is tons of room for error, so keep that in mind. Just because we are first or last right now does not mean that this gives us a good indication on where we will be at the end of the year. These first few weeks will really be more about establishing where we are and being able to look back and track progress.
Here's DVOA. Learn it, love it, use it. From FO.
DVOA is a method of evaluating teams, units, or players. It takes every single play during the NFL season and compares each one to a league-average baseline based on situation. DVOA measures not just yardage, but yardage towards a first down: five yards on third-and-4 are worth more than five yards on first-and-10 and much more than five yards on third-and-12. Red zone plays are worth more than other plays. Performance is also adjusted for the quality of the opponent. DVOA is a percentage, so a team with a DVOA of 10.0% is 10 percent better than the average team, and a quarterback with a DVOA of -20.0% is 20 percent worse than the average quarterback. Because DVOA measures scoring, defenses are better when they are negative
Total Team DVOA - 8.4% (16th in league). Right smack in the middle. Given what little we know, how young we are, and the opponent, I'll take it.
Offense DVOA (negative bad, positive good) - -11% (23rd). Meh. Not what I was hoping to see. It's only a week, but was hoping we'd fare better against the Brownies.
Pass offense DVOA - 15.5% (13th). Even with a broken thumb, Freeman did pretty well here.
Run offense DVOA - -33.7% (29th). This is disgusting. Having been unable to see but a few plays of the game I can't offer much of a take on this, but let me put this out there. Our OL the last 3 years has been lauded by fans, media, coaches etc. I've done posts on the line each year and they consistently are in the bottom third of the league. Maybe it's time we accept that despite our high draft picks, big dollars and best wishes, our OL just isn't that good.
Defense DVOA (negative good, positive bad) - -15,5% (12th). Boo-yea
Pass defense DVOA - -.5% (16th). Thank you Mr. Delhomme
Run defense DVOA - -38.1% (4th). Thank you entire Cleveland Browns organization. Also, hats off to the team on this one.
The team numbers dont look so bad. Even if we continue at the same rate, these rankings will fluctuate as we start to figure out how good each defense is and how good our team is. Not a bad showing, though we can't draw much from it at this point. You obviously know where we stand in each of these categories as I've included our rank out of the 32 NFL teams. If there is a particular unit or position you want me to detail a bit more closely, please let me know.