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Why anyone's (even the "Pros") predictions are worthless


Sure, you can go ahead and try.

Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss.

Or, Win, Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Win

Or, Win, Win, Win, Loss, Win Win...

Go ahead, shake em up any way you want. You have that much better chance to be accurate in your prediction as the so called experts.

Why? Because most of the periodicals your going to read over the next couple of months will basically be just a copy of what happened last year. Go ahead, take out their predictions and put them up against last years results. Not much difference is there?

Where is the surprise Arizona Cardinals?

Where is the surprise Jacksonville Jaguars? Or Seattle? (well I said they would fall, but I said that the year before too!"

You wont find them, because no one is willing to take a chance by sticking their neck out and saying something that sounds as equally ridongculous as saying that the Detroit Lions will go to the playoffs next year....because that's what Miami did basically in 2008. 

However, it is possible to accurately predict the future. All you have to do is accurately predict all the variables...

1)Performance of those new free agents, some of which have not even been added to the team yet!

2)Performance of those new draft picks, and wether or not they have been put in a system that will take advantage of their strengths...

3)How tough IS that schedule? - Mark this in the I know that you know that I know column. Because you will have to! 

You will need to figure out if that tough schedule that everyone says your division teams have is really that tough because its based on last years records which are not the same as this years records so you have to see step 1 and then step two before you can go to step three and then go all through that all over again.... 

Got that? Ok Here are the possibilities. Feel free to comment on which one YOU think will happen....


a)Leeman Bennett/ Ray Perkins days- 1-15 to 4-12- a disaster right from the get go. Never was a chance

b)Sam Wyche-esque season- 5-11 to 7-9 where the Bucs come out of the game 2-1 or 3-2 (or 5 dash 2) and then SLIDE...

c)Tony Dungy 1998 Trent Dilfer Special- 8-8: Break even year that may or may not have a streak or two on each side of the column.

d)John McKay 30 year anniversary 1979 re-deux - 10-6 - Playoff Win too ta Boot!

e)Jon Gruden 2002 Special- 11-5 or higher, with all the new players, yet everyone will say Raheem won the superbowl with Gruden's team for years to come.

You have a 20% chance of being right!

The person with the most accurate prediction gets to know there are people out there who actually make money doing this: and much less accurately I might add!