Non-Red Zone Scoring and the Long ball.

J. Meric

Red Zone scoring only accounts for touchdowns scored from the 20 yard line towards the end zone. Non-Red Zone scoring would be touchdowns not scored within the Red Zone. I don’t know what will come of this research, but I do know our offense, on the surface, is in love with the long ball. Last season, QB Josh Freeman had career highs with 27 touchdowns and 4,065 yards thrown; newly acquired WR Vincent Jackson became a Pro Bowler with the Bucs putting up 1,384 yards receiving (a career high) with eight touchdowns; WR Mike Williams benefited from Jackson’s arrival with a career high in reception yards of 996 yards and also added nine touchdowns.

Just because we are in love with the long ball does not equate to scoring aplenty from the long ball say 60% of the time, but we do expect a lot of long ball touchdowns. Here is a pie chart of the breakdown of Red Zone scoring versus Non-Red Zone scoring. Sorry, I guess I cannot transplant pie charts. (And here I am trying to deviate from standard charts.)

Red Zone vs Non-Red Zone Scoring,


Basic Stats (Touchdowns only)


Red Zone


Non-Red Zone


29

11

72.5%

27.5%

Pass


Run


Pass


Run


21

8

6

5

The information was collected from ESPN, but the Red Zone Scoring was collected by myself, differences in Red Zone Scoring. ESPN does not count 20 yard scores as Red Zone Scoring.


The breakdown of Non-Red Zone scoring looks very odd because the team only scored one more touchdown passing than running. But if we exclude a screen pass to RB Doug Martin against the Vikings, then the long ball touchdown account drops to equal Non-Red Zone run scoring. I want to reiterate that this article is focused solely on long ball scoring. The following pie chart will reflect only five Non-Red Zone Passing touchdowns scored.

Non-Red Zone WR Passing vs the Rest Scoring,


Basic Stats (Touchdowns only)


The Rest


Non-Red Zone WR Passing


35

5

87.5%

12.5%

The chart above shows we do not score often from the long ball. Yet, what I recall in my head are highlights of the scoring long ball and read that the Bucs like to go deep. What I am surprised to find is that RB Doug Martin scored more touchdowns outside the Red Zone than the total combination of WR’s Jackson and Williams.

(Note: I am collecting data manually. If there are possible mistakes, let me know. I usually triple check my numbers, but my brain automatically looks at it the same way and would welcome any amendments needed to be done.)

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