Working on wins
I always gravitate towards betting lines as indicators of the quality of teams. They're far from perfect, as the lines are designed to exploit a market rather than be perfect predictors, but they seem to come pretty close still. And few people have found ways to consistently outperform betting lines, so at least they're relatively accurate.
The line for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers has been set at 6 wins by Cantor Gaming, the first sports book to release over/unders for the 2012 NFL season. That's a disappointing number for a lot of fans, probably, but it's also a pretty realistic estimate for a team coming off a 4-win season. A team, moreover, which lost its last 6 games and has already lost one of its most talented defensive linemen for most or even all of the season.
But these win totals are no fun. They're best discussed among a group of fans. So, how many games do you think the Bucs win this year?
How many games do you think the Bucs will win?
12+ (23 votes)
10-11 (168 votes)
8-9 (519 votes)
6-7 (161 votes)
4-5 (17 votes)
3 or fewer (5 votes)
893 total votes