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SI's Lopez predicts Freeman as failure

by aakks on Jul 9, 2010 9:58 AM EDT

In his latest piece Lopez describes his "rule" for predicting quaterback success in the NFL. He calls it the Rule of 26-27-60.

If an NFL prospect scores at least a 26 on the Wonderlic test, starts at least 27 games in his college career and completes at least 60 percent of his passes, there's a good chance he will succeed at the NFL level.

Now, I obviously don't buy anything this simple and superficial as a prediction of NFL success. However, I thought it was interesting (in a fun, non-serious way). Lopez listed stats for a lot of quarterbacks in his column. Busts, Greats, Rookies. Unfortunately Freeman didn't appear in his piece. So I was curious and looked up the stats.
Freeman had 32 college starts. Check. Freeman's wonderlic was 27. Check. Unfortunately, his college completion percent was just 59.1%, falling just short of 60%.

Oh no! Failure! We're dooooooommmmmmmmeeeeeeeeddddd!

Poll

Should we listen to Lopez and give up on Josh Freeman?

No, the article was just for fun

126 votes

Yes, my wonderlic score would be a 3

18 votes

144 votes | Poll has closed

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Comments

It's hilarious that he presents this as serious research

Setting a hard limit with only two possible outcomes in a situation where tehre’s a variety of different outcomes of success is ridiculous.

by Sander on Jul 9, 2010 11:33 AM EDT reply actions

It is pretty ridiculous if you take it seriously

I didn’t, so it I had some fun with it.

by aakks on Jul 9, 2010 1:01 PM EDT up reply actions

He also leaves a pretty heavy disclaimer.

"I like to believe that my best hits border on felonious assault." ~ Jack Tatum

by MNeilson on Jul 9, 2010 6:18 PM EDT up reply actions

I wonder how accurate his Lopez rule is

by keysersoze19 on Jul 9, 2010 2:54 PM EDT reply actions

If you click the link

He has a bunch of examples, and a few notable exceptions (Flacco, Cutler, Rothlesberger).

by aakks on Jul 9, 2010 3:27 PM EDT up reply actions

Although I'm not sure Cutler is an exception :)

by aakks on Jul 9, 2010 3:27 PM EDT up reply actions

Cutler's in friggin chicago,

with No WR’s- He’s an expection.

Damn, has it been that long? Is that what happens since I been gone, homie?
they go the game all wrong, it’s too pretty in here, lets say we take it back to the trap one time

by 4QB on Jul 9, 2010 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions

You can not ignore the fact that

Cutler is now playing in Mike Martz system. It is a big thing to have the Faulk element in this offense, someone who is shifty can catch and accumulate a lot of YAC yards. Forte fits that mold, while he is not as good as Faulk, he has some of the ability Faulk had. If Cutler can’t do it with Martz his only hope is Gruden or maybe Olson.

by keysersoze19 on Jul 9, 2010 5:08 PM EDT up reply actions

Do I really need to comment here?

lol

"I wouldn't ever set out to hurt anyone deliberately unless it was, you know, important -like a league game or something." - Dick Butkus

by BucfaninAZ on Jul 9, 2010 5:14 PM EDT up reply actions

You leave out Favre and McNabb

22 and 14 on the Wonderlic, respectively. I don’t know that I trust a test where “27” is considered good.

by jrscott on Jul 13, 2010 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions

Marino had a 12, I think

27 is hardly ‘good’ on a Wonderlic, though. I’m fairly sure that correlates to a slightly above average IQ/education.

by Sander on Jul 13, 2010 5:06 PM EDT up reply actions

Wish that

I was as high on Olsen as you are

by freeman05 on Jul 12, 2010 11:42 AM EDT reply actions

What are you talking about?

I was never high on Olsen. I said at the end of last season he ought to be fired, and I haven’t changed my mind.

by aakks on Jul 12, 2010 12:59 PM EDT up reply actions

FIRE OLSEN NOW!

Too early?

by bucfanlostiniowa on Jul 12, 2010 1:27 PM EDT up reply actions

Not at all. Can we throw Morris in and make it a package deal to get out of town?

"Training camp is a little different. To me, that's when you establish the men. You take off your underwear." Raheem Morris

by bucnut1 on Jul 13, 2010 7:29 PM EDT up reply actions

From the start Olson was brought here to do 1 major thing

that was to develop Josh Freeman. By the start of the 2009-2010 season he was the official play caller. Where Josh is at now you have to give Olson some credit Freeman seems to be moving along better than some other young QBs did.
Olson the coordinator should have a fair grade, being that he took over a team which player personnel was geared towards a different style. There were a lot of headaches with the offense last year. But the offense did show glimpses of brilliance at different times last year. Tampa did have a high red zone percentage. Olson now have some pieces in tack to execute his plan of attack. It better be good though, cause failure in the offense can arguably cost Olson and Raheems job.

by keysersoze19 on Jul 12, 2010 5:07 PM EDT up reply actions