Considering that the Bucs have a good chance of going 2-1 in the final 3 games, we'd finish at 10-6. Obviously we need the Packers to lose at least one more as well to keep ahead of them, or the Bears to lose two.
I have to look at it this way, we need one of those two teams to lose two games for us to be in, since I'm thinking we'll lose to the Saints. That said, which team is more likely to lose two? One will lose this week, and we'll need them to lose another.
The Giants have the Packers and Redskins, both on the road.
I'm thinking we need the Giants to lose to the Eagles (against common thought) this week. Many people are claiming we'll lose tie-breaks to the Giants, but that's not necessarily true. If they lose this week, and in week 17 to the Redskins, we beat them in tie-breaks due to "Common Opponents". Our conference records will be the same (after their two losses and our one). The Giants are also hurting more with injuries to WRs. I think it's far more likely the Giants will lose two than the Eagles, giving us the best chance. What do you think?