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Around SBN: Which Players Will Join The 3,000-Hit Club?

FANTASY WEEKEND REPORT by Craig T

Craig T's FFH (we lied about the year established. Stolen via Google search. How's that for honesty.

Our good buddy Craig T has his internet down, let me guess, Brighthouse? Remember when Brighthouse tried to make everyone think the NFL Network was the bad guy? Now BH is the only one that Doesnt have it. Heck, I get NFL Network on a sprint phone for goodness sake!! " You carry 8 shopping channels, but no NFL Network!!!"

Anyways..This message brought to you by Verizon's Fios. JK, ....

Take it away Craig T...

Welcome, BucEm fans, to what will be our weekly look at some fantasy football help some of you might be musing over. With 8 weeks down and 5 to go, many of you are likely jockeying for playoff berths, so let's get down to it...

 

Star-divide

 

QBs TO START (excluding weekly automatic starts P. Manning, Brady, Roethlisberger, Brees, B. Favre, A. Rodgers, and K. Warner)

 

1. Tony Romo @ PHI. 8 TDs, 0 INTs in last 3 and seeing field as well as anyone.

 2. Matt Hasselbeck vs DET. Weak SEA running game + weak DET defense = big bounceback game for Hasselbeck.

 3. Donovan McNabb vs. DAL. Like Romo, also seeing field well in what should be a game filled w points.

 4. Philip Rivers @ NYG. Clicking V-Jack lately and has passed for not less than 249 yds this season. NYG defense still not right.

 5. Matt Schaub @ IND. First time he and Andre Johnson have been on the field together vs IND since 2007.

 

Sleeper: Jason Campbell @ ATL. Yes, ugh, I know, but WAS is coming off a bye and ATL can't stop anybody through the air. Look for a solid, if not great, game from Campbell Sunday.

 

QBs TO SIT

 

1. Eli Manning vs SD. He's just not trustworthy since injuring his heel.

 2. Matt Ryan vs WAS. Roddy White is iffy for the game and WAS pass defense has been solid this season. If you have a 2nd option, consider it.

 3. Jake Delhomme @ NO. If you were considering Jake as a bye-week replacement, dig deeper for an option, such as Alex Smith or Campbell. Delhomme vs a turnover-minded defense like NO is a nightmare.

 4. Jay Cutler vs ARI. Has hit 3 PaTDs only once since week one.

 5. Kyle Orton vs PIT. Steeler D boosted by return of Polamalu.

 

RBs TO START (excluding C. Johnson, Gore, MJ-D, Turner, LT, SJax, AP, Forte, Ronnie Brown, B. Jacobs)

 

1. Ryan Grant @ TB. Duh.

 2. Joseph Addai vs. HOU. Comeback player of year candidate has scored in 4 straight.

 3. Ray Rice @ CIN. Now the guy in BAL, should be key piece of offense in a close game.

 4. Marion Barber @ PHI. With trio of RBs, no longer an auto start, but still gets majority of carries and goalline touches and should be started when DAL offense is clicking like it is.

 5. Pierre Thomas vs. CAR. Still the main guy in the backfield of the most explosive offense in football.

 

Sleeper: Jamaal Charles @ JAX. Did you see what Johnson and Titans did to this run defense last week? Charles will get majority of carries and should have a good chance to score.

 

RBs TO SIT

 

1. LeSean McCoy vs DAL. Westbrook back and Cowboys have been strong against the run.

 2. Laurence Maroney vs MIA. Sammy Morris' return clouds backfield picture and MIA also solid vs run.

 3. Cadillac Williams vs GB. GB ranks near the top of the NFL in rushing YPGA. Certainly you've got a better option.

 4. Rashard Mendenhall @ DEN.

Denver ranks 3rd against run and Willie Parker to get some work as well.

 5. Beanie Wells @ CHI. Still splitting 50/50 w/Hightower, and appears not to be getting majority of goalline carries. Maybe a flex play, but not RB2 material.

 

WRs TO START (excluding R. Wayne, A. Johnson, L. Fitzgerald, M. Colston, R. Moss, W. Welker, Desean Jackson, R. White, Calvin Johnson, H. Ward, Vincent Jackson, D. Bowe, B. Marshall, Ochocinco)

 

1. Santana Moss @ ATL. Falcons giving up yards in droves to opposing number 1 WRs. Moss on Grimes' backup should be a mismatch.

 2. Miles Austin @ PHI. Ride him til he bucks ya.

 3. Nate Burleson vs DET. Hasselbeck's main target should cash in Sunday.

 4. Donald Driver @ TB. Bucs' secondary will get a stiff test Sunday, and Driver has been Rodgers' go to guy. Jennings also a solid play.

 5. Kevin Walter @ IND. Should have more one on one matchups than Johnson and targets should increase with loss of Owen Daniels.

 

Sleeper: Steve Breaston @ CHI. In line for solid number of targets with Boldin re-aggravating his ankle.

 

WRs TO SIT

 

1. Ted Ginn, Jr @ NE. Don't be fooled by his 2 KRTD performance against NYJ... He still hasn't earned his starting WR spot back yet from Hartline/Bess.

 2. Roy E. Williams @ PHI. I don't care that he scored last week. He stinks and doesn't have trust of his QB.

 3. Eddie Royal vs PIT. Only receiver worth trusting right now is B. Marshall. Gaffney stealing some of Royal's targets.

 4. Lance Moore vs CAR. Gimpy, may be a GTD. With Meachem and Henderson likely to get targets, consider better alternatives over Moore if you can.

 5. Mario Manningham vs. SD. Manning spreading around the targets and is having a tough time throwing an accurate deep ball, which hurts a big play WR like double M.

 

TEs TO START (excluding Witten, Gates, Clark, V. Davis, Shockey, T. Gonzalez)

 

1. Brent Celek vs DAL. Even though DAL has been great at holding down opposing TEs, he's too valuable to this offense lately to sit.

 2. Kevin Boss vs SD. Great underneath option for Manning, who's struggling to step up and make deep throws.

 3. Fred Davis @ ATL. TE is a big part of WAS passing game, and Davis has the athletic ability of a WR.  

 4. Donald Lee vs. TB. Rodgers looks at TE in red zone often and matchup problems exist for Buccaneers. Sub in Jermichael Finley here if he's cleared to play.

 5. Heath Miller @ DEN. With Denver's defense so tough against the run and in the red zone, Big Ben's go to guy in the red zone should get some scoring looks.

 

Sleeper: Ben Watson vs MIA. Scored in 2 of last 3 games.

 

TEs TO SIT

 

1. Brandon Pettigrew @ SEA. If you're looking for a bye-week filler, look elsewhere. Without Stafford healthy, Pettigrew is a forgotten part of the offense.

 2. Kellen Winslow vs TB. Yea yea, Freeman's gotta throw it to somebody, but who can really tell who he'll connect with? If you've got another solid option, consider it until we see how he connects with K2.

 3. Bo Scaife @ SF. Niners 3-4 defense matches up their athletic LBs very well with opposing TEs.

 4. Todd Heap @ CIN. Good for 3 catches, 40-50 yds, and that is all.

 5. Tony Scheffler vs PIT. Except for his big game against SD a few weeks ago, has done nothing this year.

 

5 KICKERS TO START:

 

1. Shaun Suisham @ ATL

2. David Akers @ DAL

3. Nate Kaeding @ NYG

4. Kris Brown @ IND

5. Shayne Graham vs BAL

 

5 KICKERS TO SIT:

 

1. Dan Carpenter @ NE

2. Jason Elam vs WAS

3. Olindo Mare vs DET

4. Robbie Gould vs ARI

5. John Kasay @ NO

 

5 DEFENSES WITH GOOD MATCHUPS:

 

1. PIT @ DEN

2. SEA vs DET

3. NO vs CAR

4. JAX vs KC

5. SF vs TEN

 

5 DEFENSES WITH TOUGH MATCHUPS:

 

1. DAL @ PHI

2. NYG vs SD

3. PHI vs DAL

4. MIA @ NE

5. ATL vs WAS  

 

Comment 27 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Thanks for the help

Matt Ryan over Jay Cutler it is.

by Hook85 on Nov 7, 2009 5:13 AM EST reply actions  

No offense

You run this site GREAT!

but I wont be taking any more fantasy advice. I started Matt Ryan over Jat Cutler.

Matt Ryan =9 points
Jay Cutler= 31 points!!!!

by Hook85 on Nov 8, 2009 7:24 PM EST up reply actions  

FWIW, I had Matt Ryan as a higher ranked

Sit than Jay Cutler and noted the difficulty of passinfg on WAS. Sorry for your loss.

Cannons... fire them.

www.BucEm.com - SBNation's home for discussion of all things regarding the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

by Craig T on Nov 9, 2009 10:19 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

my bad

i didnt see matt ryan to sit for some reason, maybe because his name wasnt in bold. either way ur right.

by Hook85 on Nov 10, 2009 3:59 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm actually starting Carnell in 10 man leagues.

If Tampa doesn’t commit to the run today, they are absolutely foolish. There is no way they don’t protect Freeman by limiting his opportunities. If Olsen has any sense (which is questionable) he is un-balanced run….. I would say it should be at least 60-40 if not more. Green Bay’s defense is very good (6th in DVOA against the run), but if we average 3-4 yards a carry and run it 35 – 40 times we are still looking at a 100 yard back somewhere in the mix.

Great insight though. Ray Rice may be the most underrated fantasy player this season. Most productive back in Total Yards, just needs to learn to finish drives.

"I have come that you may have life, and life to the max"

by MNeilson on Nov 7, 2009 6:05 AM EST reply actions  

An honest question

Do you really think we run the ball 35-40 times? I’d be happy hitting 25-30 with our pace earlier this year.

Signature space available for rent - Got to pay the bills somehow

by Buc Wild on Nov 7, 2009 9:32 AM EST up reply actions  

Good Question

Why do you kill threads????

by 4QB on Nov 7, 2009 10:04 AM EST up reply actions  

I think it depends how their run defense handles the first few runs and how Freeman looks.

But football logic should indicate they should hit the 30s in runs this game.

by NewLogic on Nov 7, 2009 3:33 PM EST up reply actions  

I think this coaching staff treats Freeman very differently.

It seems they have done nothing but baby him along. While our playcalling hasn’t reflected that at ALL this year (that we will run), I think if Olsen has learned anything from being in the NFL it’s to protect young QB’s.

"I have come that you may have life, and life to the max"

by MNeilson on Nov 7, 2009 7:41 PM EST up reply actions  

We'll find out soon enough

but consider it a massive fail on Olsen if we don’t run it 25+ times

Signature space available for rent - Got to pay the bills somehow

by Buc Wild on Nov 7, 2009 8:09 PM EST up reply actions  

If not...I fully support firing him.

He hasn’t called an offense to our strength all season. IF he does it on Freeman’s first start its clear he doesn’t get it.

"I have come that you may have life, and life to the max"

by MNeilson on Nov 7, 2009 9:25 PM EST up reply actions  

25+ times means Tampa Bay will control the clock and I dont see it?

their max will be at 25 and that is if theyre in the game which I dont see after a tough GB loss. No way

Jack of all trades-Master of None.....

by Yardpenalty.com on Nov 7, 2009 11:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Josh Johnson is young too

The Bucs are going up against a powerful Offense and if they do not attempt to throw the ball at least 25 times they will for sure lose. Lets think about it

Jack of all trades-Master of None.....

by Yardpenalty.com on Nov 7, 2009 11:37 PM EST up reply actions  

I think you should be worrying

about the Pats getting wooped by the Dolphins.

by Hook85 on Nov 8, 2009 1:10 AM EST up reply actions  

SB CHAMPIONS AGAIN....

Jack of all trades-Master of None.....

by Yardpenalty.com on Nov 13, 2009 7:38 PM EST up reply actions  

I think Romo is about ready for a stink bomb and I've got Mendenhall going against Denver

The last 5 teams to face Denver have put up an average of 15+ fantasy points, sounds good to me. That and Used To Be Fast Willie Parker isn’t a threat anymore.

Craig, what type of league are you in?

Good luck to all the fantasy players out there

Signature space available for rent - Got to pay the bills somehow

by Buc Wild on Nov 7, 2009 9:24 AM EST reply actions  

FWP will still get some touches

Even though he’s becoming less effective and Mewelde Moore is their passing down back. Still, Mendenhall is now their primary back. Presumably, since he wasn’t the starter to start the year and was struggling so badly, people either took him low in the draft or got him off the waiver wire after FWP went down, so many folks should still have decent RB1 and RB2 options. However, if you lost a RB or whatever, ride with him. Or if you took Slaton in the first rd (ugh). I should have put him as a sit option.I think that with HOU running a 3 man RB rotation, itd be wise to see how that plays out before starting Slaton again if you can afford it.

I’m in a 12 man league with draft auction format and priority waiver wire. Miles Austin, Marques Colston, and Steven Jackson have all been constants and helped me to 1st place at 6-2 (fingers crossed).

Cannons... fire them.

www.BucEm.com - SBNation's home for discussion of all things regarding the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

by Craig T on Nov 8, 2009 10:28 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Who to go for Packers D ;-P or Broncos D?

Disregard the fact they are play the Bucs this week.

by IceyPirate on Nov 7, 2009 10:53 AM EST reply actions  

I don't think you can disregard the opponent, that makes up about 80% of starting a defense.

Do you get points for sacks? Fumbles? Interceptions? Points against? Yards against? The Broncos D is good, but they’ve been weaker against the run and the Steelers can certainly put up some points when necessary. The Bucs are trotting out a rookie quarterback on what has been a very weak offense. Freeman is probably good for at least one, if not two interceptions and with Woodson and Harris, one may go back for a pick. Return touchdowns are tough to gauge, and I think the Broncos with Royal have a better shot, but if it’s me, I’m sticking with the Packers D. In my league, the Broncos D has outperformed the Packers D by approx .5 points a week. Over the first 7-8 weeks they’ve been similar and I’d play the match up and go Green Bay (even though it pains me to say it).

Fantasy football emphasizes matchups. Two players/teams can be equal in talent, but I’d err on the side of the better match up.

Signature space available for rent - Got to pay the bills somehow

by Buc Wild on Nov 7, 2009 11:10 AM EST up reply actions  

+1

Cannons... fire them.

www.BucEm.com - SBNation's home for discussion of all things regarding the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

by Craig T on Nov 8, 2009 10:57 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Safe bet would be the Packers.

Broncos D is one of the best in the league at the moment, but they are going up against a very competitive team. It’s a longer shot that Freeman puts up 4 TD and 300 yds against the Packers then the Broncos completely holding the Steelers. Then again, you can never tell what may happen in sports sometimes and the Bucs may ruin the Packers’s D this week, but that’s more of my personal hope then logic.

by NewLogic on Nov 7, 2009 3:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Im going with the Packers.

Its a win, win situation here. If the Bucs get blown out then hopefully that means the Pac D posted some points, but if the Bucs win which I would much rather have this one out of the 2 then everything is good as well, especially if Caddy is carrying the majority of the time, I jump up and get my hands got in the ceiling fan every time he carries for a TD. Painful but worth it.

by IceyPirate on Nov 7, 2009 3:56 PM EST reply actions  

I cannot believe you say to sit Winslow

I know Josh is a rookie but with Bryant questionable he will find Winslow more than any other target. I see Winslow with 6-8 50yds and maybe a TD

Jack of all trades-Master of None.....

by Yardpenalty.com on Nov 7, 2009 11:36 PM EST reply actions  

Bryant's absence

Which was announced only today increases the potential for touches for Winslow as a primary target. However, we don’t know how he’ll connect with his QB or how Green Bay will defend winslow. Keep in mind, the Packers should be able to lock down Stovall and Clark with Al Harris and Charles Woodson with single man coverage, which gives the Packers the flexibility to double Winslow.

There are far worse options out there, but this is still a somewhat risky play. Much depends on your circumstances. If you are in a deep league and he’s the only TE on your roster and your waiver wire is thin, go with Winslow.

Cannons... fire them.

www.BucEm.com - SBNation's home for discussion of all things regarding the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

by Craig T on Nov 8, 2009 12:04 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

He connected

Jack of all trades-Master of None.....

by Yardpenalty.com on Nov 13, 2009 7:37 PM EST up reply actions  

PREGAME UPDATES

Per ESPN fasntasy football now show, Brian Westbrook (concussion) is OUT for tonight’s game, so Lesean McCoy’s value increases substantially. However, Leonard Weaver got some significant work last week and the DAL run D is strong, so caveat emptor.

Calvin Johnson (knee) is IN.

Still no word on Ben Watson (back), so check the inactives page at cbssports.com before kickoff if you’re considering him.

Cannons... fire them.

www.BucEm.com - SBNation's home for discussion of all things regarding the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

by Craig T on Nov 8, 2009 11:53 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

Ben Watson is ACTIVE per espn.

Cannons... fire them.

www.BucEm.com - SBNation's home for discussion of all things regarding the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

by Craig T on Nov 8, 2009 12:06 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

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